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Article
Intermodal Transport of Ethanol in Brazil: A Simulation Using Partial Equilibrium
Author(s)
Jamile de Campos Coleti1, Andrea Leda Ramos de Oliveira2 and Karina Braga Marsola2
Full-Text PDF XML 748 Views
DOI:10.17265/2161-6264/2018.01.004
Affiliation(s)
1. Institute of Economics, University of Campinas, Campinas 13083-857, Brazil
2. School of Agricultural Engineering, University of Campinas, Campinas 13083-875, Brazil
ABSTRACT
The search for renewable energy has put ethanol on another level, making
Brazil the second largest producer in the world. The aim of this study was to analyze ethanol
transportation alternatives in the face of the current logistics in Brazil. It
was proposed a partial equilibrium model analyzing three scenarios: the first
concerned a base scenario (scenario 1), the second estimated a 15% decrease in
railroad freight (scenario 2), and the third included new national
pipeline projects (scenario 3). Scenario 3 showed the highest trading
volumes with a 0.20% increase compared with the base scenario, indicating
transport systems that prioritize multimodality. It was also highlighted that the multimodality assumptions of scenarios 2 and 3 resulted in competitiveness
gains in the international market, because all the
routes destined for foreign markets are multimodal.
KEYWORDS
Economics, logistics, agriculture, ethanol, simulation.
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